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DHT: 10CSV

09 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.5%
Wycombe
25.4%
Draw
28.2%
Sunderland

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Wycombe

vs
0.98

Sunderland

Markets

BTTS45.2%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.2%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).