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HHT: 10CSV

09 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.8%
Kidderminster
30.5%
Draw
31.7%
Eastleigh

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Kidderminster

vs
1.09

Eastleigh

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-0
11.1%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).