Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.3%
Karagumruk
27.7%
Draw
36.0%
Hatayspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Karagumruk
vs
1.68
Hatayspor
Markets
BTTS68.8%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.543.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
0-0
5.9%
2-0
4.9%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
3-2
3.9%
2-3
3.9%
1-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).