Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →2.9%
Holstein Kiel
5.2%
Draw
91.9%
Bayern Munich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Holstein Kiel
vs
4.88
Bayern Munich
Markets
BTTS66.0%
Over 0.599.6%
Over 1.598.3%
Over 2.593.6%
Over 3.584.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-4
6.7%
1-5
6.5%
0-4
6.1%
0-5
6.0%
1-3
5.5%
0-3
5.0%
2-4
3.6%
2-5
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
0-2
3.1%
2-3
3.0%
2-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).