Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.4%
Atalanta
17.9%
Draw
9.7%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Atalanta
vs
0.62
Empoli
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.5%
1-0
13.8%
3-0
10.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
4-0
5.4%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
3.4%
2-2
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).