Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.6%
Ajaccio
27.8%
Draw
33.6%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Ajaccio
vs
1.00
Clermont
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
0-1
13.4%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.3%
2-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).