Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.7%
Las Palmas
32.6%
Draw
31.7%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Las Palmas
vs
0.90
Alaves
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.556.3%
Over 2.529.0%
Over 3.512.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.6%
1-0
14.6%
1-1
13.7%
0-1
13.5%
2-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).