Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.4%
Bournemouth
26.0%
Draw
17.6%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Bournemouth
vs
0.93
West Brom
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
2-0
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
8.1%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
0-1
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).