Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Ajaccio
27.9%
Draw
29.4%
Martigues
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Ajaccio
vs
0.90
Martigues
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.515.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
0-1
12.6%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
11.8%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).