Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.4%
Numancia
28.6%
Draw
34.0%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Numancia
vs
1.08
Girona
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.5%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).