Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Atalanta
26.8%
Draw
30.5%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Atalanta
vs
1.08
Napoli
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
12.1%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).