Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.0%
Welling United
21.1%
Draw
69.9%
Thatcham Town
Expected Goals (xG)
0.44
Welling United
vs
1.75
Thatcham Town
Markets
BTTS29.2%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.8%
0-2
17.1%
0-0
10.9%
0-3
10.0%
1-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
1-0
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-1
1.9%
2-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).