Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.3%
Birmingham
29.6%
Draw
47.1%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Birmingham
vs
1.38
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
0-1
13.1%
0-0
11.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
1-3
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).