Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.9%
Freiburg
26.4%
Draw
28.7%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Freiburg
vs
1.24
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS57.4%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).