Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.6%
Mansfield
14.6%
Draw
7.8%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
Mansfield
vs
0.62
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.1%
1-0
11.9%
3-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
7.0%
1-1
6.9%
4-0
6.9%
0-0
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-0
3.3%
0-1
3.2%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).