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AHT: 12CSV

23 Nov 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.4%
Dover Athletic
28.0%
Draw
36.6%
Wealdstone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Dover Athletic

vs
1.35

Wealdstone

Markets

BTTS55.5%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
1-2
8.3%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
1-0
8.1%
0-0
7.9%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).