Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.8%
Crystal Palace
21.9%
Draw
9.3%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Crystal Palace
vs
0.63
Leicester
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.5%
1-0
13.1%
1-1
10.3%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-0
4.9%
0-1
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).