Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.5%
Milton Keynes Dons
25.3%
Draw
33.2%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
1.21
Notts County
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).