Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.8%
Tenerife
31.3%
Draw
32.9%
Numancia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Tenerife
vs
0.93
Numancia
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.557.2%
Over 2.530.3%
Over 3.513.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
0-0
14.5%
0-1
13.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).