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AHT: 01CSV

21 Sept 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.5%
Paris FC
23.6%
Draw
51.9%
Strasbourg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Paris FC

vs
1.60

Strasbourg

Markets

BTTS50.0%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.5%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
0-0
6.7%
2-1
6.0%
1-3
5.1%
0-3
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).