Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.5%
Boston Utd
21.8%
Draw
18.7%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Boston Utd
vs
1.14
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS60.8%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.541.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
0-0
4.5%
3-2
4.0%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).