Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.8%
Malaga
23.7%
Draw
13.5%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Malaga
vs
0.61
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS36.7%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
2-0
14.2%
1-1
10.4%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
7.8%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-0
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
2.6%
4-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).