⚽ FootballData
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AHT: 12CSV

10 Apr 2018

Fylde

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.2%
Torquay
22.2%
Draw
16.6%
Fylde

Expected Goals (xG)

2.06

Torquay

vs
0.99

Fylde

Markets

BTTS55.7%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
8.9%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
0-1
3.9%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).