Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.8%
Stockport
18.6%
Draw
11.6%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Stockport
vs
0.61
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS38.4%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.5%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.5%
4-0
4.6%
1-2
2.8%
4-1
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).