Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.4%
Lyon
19.6%
Draw
20.0%
Nice
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Lyon
vs
1.11
Nice
Markets
BTTS58.1%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
0-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).