Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.0%
Ibiza
27.8%
Draw
40.2%
Ponferradina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Ibiza
vs
1.24
Ponferradina
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).