Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.0%
Hamburg
20.7%
Draw
14.4%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Hamburg
vs
0.98
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
1-0
8.1%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
7.3%
0-0
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
4-1
4.1%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).