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03 Aug 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.2%
St. Gilloise
23.1%
Draw
8.7%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Expected Goals (xG)

1.72

St. Gilloise

vs
0.46

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Markets

BTTS30.6%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
19.0%
2-0
16.8%
0-0
11.8%
3-0
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
2.0%
4-1
1.9%
2-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).