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29 Jan 2025 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.5%
Tenerife
30.1%
Draw
38.4%
La Coruna

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Tenerife

vs
1.09

La Coruna

Markets

BTTS40.6%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.560.4%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.2%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
12.9%
1-0
12.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).