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HHT: 11

18 Aug 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.5%
Värnamo
25.2%
Draw
42.3%
Degerfors

Expected Goals (xG)

1.52

Värnamo

vs
1.75

Degerfors

Markets

BTTS65.6%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.541.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
5.8%
0-1
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
0-0
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-0
4.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-1
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).