Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.2%
Sheffield United
27.6%
Draw
23.2%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Sheffield United
vs
0.99
Watford
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).