Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.2%
Hull
24.7%
Draw
42.1%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Hull
vs
1.74
Southampton
Markets
BTTS65.5%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.541.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
5.8%
0-1
5.8%
1-3
5.1%
1-0
4.9%
0-0
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).