Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.2%
Ingolstadt
27.7%
Draw
50.1%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Ingolstadt
vs
1.57
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
11.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).