Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Stevenage
30.3%
Draw
27.1%
Barnet
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Stevenage
vs
0.80
Barnet
Markets
BTTS36.3%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.556.1%
Over 2.529.6%
Over 3.512.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
0-0
14.4%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
12.6%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).