Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.5%
Blackburn
30.6%
Draw
45.9%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Blackburn
vs
1.31
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
13.9%
0-0
12.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).