Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.7%
Frosinone
19.7%
Draw
66.6%
Atalanta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Frosinone
vs
2.04
Atalanta
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.3%
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
5.7%
1-0
4.8%
0-4
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
2-1
3.8%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).