Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.0%
Toulouse
24.1%
Draw
37.9%
Monaco
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Toulouse
vs
1.45
Monaco
Markets
BTTS58.4%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
0-1
8.2%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.8%
0-2
5.8%
0-0
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).