Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.4%
Hertha
27.4%
Draw
22.2%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Hertha
vs
0.98
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.0%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).