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HHT: 20

01 Mar 2025 · 12:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.1%
Preston
37.7%
Draw
44.2%
Burnley

Expected Goals (xG)

0.44

Preston

vs
0.87

Burnley

Markets

BTTS20.3%
Over 0.573.3%
Over 1.537.3%
Over 2.514.5%
Over 3.54.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
26.7%
0-1
23.8%
1-0
12.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
4.5%
0-3
3.0%
2-0
2.6%
2-1
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-2
1.0%
0-4
0.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).