Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.0%
Crotone
29.9%
Draw
35.1%
Chievo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Crotone
vs
1.23
Chievo
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.9%
0-1
9.3%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).