Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.6%
Southampton
25.1%
Draw
17.3%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Southampton
vs
0.85
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).