Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.8%
Sudtirol
34.9%
Draw
23.3%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Sudtirol
vs
0.72
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS34.9%
Over 0.581.9%
Over 1.554.4%
Over 2.526.4%
Over 3.510.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.1%
1-0
16.6%
1-1
14.2%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).