Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.6%
Aves
31.7%
Draw
26.6%
Santa Clara
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Aves
vs
0.74
Santa Clara
Markets
BTTS32.9%
Over 0.583.4%
Over 1.552.0%
Over 2.525.9%
Over 3.510.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.0%
0-0
16.6%
0-1
13.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.0%
2-2
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).