Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.2%
Aldershot
14.5%
Draw
75.2%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Aldershot
vs
3.01
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS64.0%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.592.1%
Over 2.577.8%
Over 3.558.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
0-3
7.4%
0-2
7.4%
1-4
6.2%
1-1
5.9%
0-4
5.6%
2-3
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
0-1
4.5%
1-5
3.7%
2-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).