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AHT: 10CSV

10 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.4%
Fleetwood Town
22.9%
Draw
23.7%
Bristol Rvs

Expected Goals (xG)

1.62

Fleetwood Town

vs
0.97

Bristol Rvs

Markets

BTTS48.9%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).