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25 Oct 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.6%
Karpaty
30.6%
Draw
23.8%
Rukh Vynnyky

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Karpaty

vs
0.79

Rukh Vynnyky

Markets

BTTS38.9%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.514.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.9%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.3%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).