Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Farense
26.7%
Draw
25.8%
Vizela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Farense
vs
0.91
Vizela
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.1%
0-0
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).