Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.3%
Bastia
27.5%
Draw
38.2%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Bastia
vs
1.10
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.8%
1-2
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).