Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.9%
Villarreal
20.7%
Draw
20.3%
Betis
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Villarreal
vs
1.20
Betis
Markets
BTTS61.9%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-0
8.1%
1-0
7.4%
3-1
7.0%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
3-2
4.2%
0-1
4.0%
4-1
3.8%
0-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).