Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.4%
Sheffield Weds
13.0%
Draw
81.6%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Sheffield Weds
vs
2.77
Fulham
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.544.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.9%
0-3
11.9%
0-1
8.9%
0-4
8.3%
1-2
8.0%
1-3
7.4%
1-1
6.2%
1-4
5.1%
0-5
4.6%
0-0
3.8%
1-5
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).